The Drop-In The Price Of Graphic Chips Raises Questions About When The Shortage Will Be Over.
A significant decline in graphic chip costs could signal an unusually speedy resolution to a global chip shortage that has slowed manufacturing from smartphones to automobiles, and the issue will be a major focus for companies reporting earnings this week.
Investors will consider how inflationary consumer spending, China’s COVID lockdown, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine balance off supply chain obstructions for microchips as Intel (INTC.O), Qualcomm (QCOM.O), and others report. GPUs, or graphics processing units, which are the brains of gaming machines and are extended to other purposes, are the catalyst.
After prices fell, Baird analysts downgraded GPU maker Nvidia (NVDA.O) to “neutral.” Nvidia stock has been down around 31% this year, while rival Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O) has dropped about 37%, compared to a roughly 22% decrease in the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index (.SOX).
Both Companies Did Not Respond To Requests For Comment.
GPUs are still offered at a premium, although it is a lower premium. According to Susquehanna analyst Christopher Rolland, the mark-up above the manufacturer’s suggested retail price, or MSRP, has dropped to 41% from 77% earlier this month.
The price of AMD’s Radeon RX6000 and Nvidia’s GeForce RTX30, both used for gaming, has steadily declined to less than 20% above MSRP from 80 percent at the start of the year,
according to 3DCenter, a graphics chips and hardware news site that follows graphic chip pricing in Europe. If electronic businesses that buy chips expect prices to fall further, according to Baird senior analyst Tristan Gerra, they will trim bloated inventories, further reducing purchases — and pressuring prices.
“It’s A Never-Ending Loop.” Gerra Remarked.
Analysts predict that demand for GPUs will fall as the cryptocurrency Ethereum changes its business model later this summer, cutting the demand for graphics chips that power today’s cryptocurrency mining equipment. The question of whether the decreased prices will spread throughout the chip industry is being debated.
According to Summit Insights Group analyst Kinngai Chan, softening demand from the PC and smartphone sectors is resulting in price decreases of other chips such as leading-edge processors like CPUs and some memory chips, which are expected to experience overcapacity in the second half of this year.
In the meantime, leading chipmakers such as Intel and TSMC (2330. TW) are planning multibillion-dollar expansions. “Between all the fab investments and all the bullishness that the shortage wouldn’t end until 2023, 2024, we said we could see a glut coming,” said Dan Hutcheson of TechInsights, who has been watching chip supply and demand for more than 40 years.
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